Differences Between Descriptive and Inferential
Statistics
Definitions of descriptive and inferential statistics are found in
Section 1.1 of Weiss. Basically, descriptive statistics is the
study of ways to represent populations or samples graphically or
numerically while inferential statistics deals with techniques used to
make inferences about populations based on sample information.
Populations are well-defined collections of things,
people, or objects that are of some interest and are studied in certain
ways. Some examples of populations are: (1) all full-time CSUS
students enrolled at the end of the first week in spring semester 2001,
(2) all residents of the greater Sacramento area (needs to be clearly
defined) on November 6, 2000, (3) all sales amounts for January 30, 2001
at Macy's downtown Sacramento store, (4) all cars in CSUS parking lot 4
at 10 A.M. on January 30, 2001. These are only a few
examples--think of other examples of populations.
Most populations consist of a large number of
members. For the examples shown above the size of population (1)
is around 20,000, population (2) is about 1,900,000, population (3) is
unknown but very large, and population (4( is probably between 500 and
1000.
Definitions are found in Weiss, Section 1.1. You can use this
to link
to Internet web pages for the Weiss book. The Chapter 1 button
contains materials related to populations and samples.
Sampling
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Representative Samples
In sampling from a population the goal is to obtain a
representative sample, that is a sample representing all
aspects of the population that are of interest. For example,
in determining the proportion of brown-eyed people in a population,
the sample should have approximately the same
proportions of blue-eyed, brown-eyed, and other-color-eyed
people as the population. Since these population proportions
may not be known, it is rather difficult to devise a method that
will produce a representative sample.
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Simple Random Sampling
As you will see later, a sufficiently large random sampling (or some variation of it)
is likely to produce a representative sample. At least, if
done properly, random sampling will prevent a biased sample from being
selected. Sample size will be considered briefly later.
Simple random sampling can be done with or without replacement.
In practice, sampling is usually done without replacement.
Assume that each element of a population can somehow be associated
with a number from1 through the number of elements in the
population. If one of these numbers is selected, the
associated element is to be included in the sample. Then
random sampling is equivalent to selecting numbers at random from
the set of numbers associated with the population.
Use the random number table in your textbook or the
random number table at this link to pick a random
sample of size 6 from a population whose elements are numbered
from 1 through 57. Next pick a
random sample of size 12 from a population whose elements are
numbered from 1 through 342.
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Systematic Sampling
Systematic sampling is carried out by selecting a starting
number at random and then selecting every kth number following the
starting number. The population elements associated with the
selected numbers constitute the systematic sample.
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Cluster Sampling
A population is divided, perhaps naturally, into groups
called clusters. As an example, the population of
students at CSUS is divided into classes chosen by the
students. Each class is considered a cluster. In
obtaining a simple random sample from this population, the
person(s) doing the sampling might have to visit a number of
classes to find the single (usually) person from each of
those classes to be included in the sample. As a time
(and money) saving alternative, two or three classes
(clusters) could be selected at random and all of the people
in these classes would be considered to be the sample.
This is cluster sampling. The clusters are selected at
random and all of the elements in each of the selected
clusters constitute the sample.
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Stratified Random Sampling
As in cluster sampling the population is divided into subgroups
called strata. For example, the students attending CSUS this
semester are divided by gender (F or M), by class (Freshman,
Sophomore, Junior, Senior, Graduate), by units (Full-Time or
Part-Time), among others. In selecting a sample of size 100
from this population, you might want your sample to reflect the
percentages in the strata mentioned above. If it is possible
to find the percentages of students in each stratum, you could
sample in such a way that your sample has approximately the same
percentages. At the beginning of a semester it is not known
exactly what percentages of students fall into each of the
categories noted above. However, the percentages are
probably fairly close to the percentages from last semester.
If, for example, the percentage of females was 55% and the
percentage of males was 45% last semester, in selecting a sample
of size 100, you might want 55 females and 45 males in your
sample. Simply take a simple random sample of size 55 from
the current semester females and another random sample of size 45
from the males. The combination of females and males is a
stratified random sample.
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Resources
Additional information, definitions, and examples of systematic,
stratified, and cluster sampling are found in Sections 1.6 and 1.7 of Weiss.
An outstanding look at polling
is found on the Gallup Organization website at this link.
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Experimental Design
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Observational Studies
In observational studies the statistician does not force some
predefined structure on the collection of information. A certain group is
observed and statistics for that group are reported.
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Designed Studies
Designed studies are devised to extract the maximum amount of
information from an experiment. This may be necessary for
reasons of cost, minimization of suffering of laboratory animals
or human subjects, or danger.
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Control
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Randomization
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Replication
Examination questions will be of three types: (1) Work-out-the-answer questions--you will be presented with a situation
where you
must choose an appropriate statistical technique, use the technique to
arrive at an answer, and possibly use the answer to answer a questions or
questions that are posed in the question, (2) Short essays--you will be
asked to write a paragraph or two describing a concept or, (2) True or
False Questions. In the Sample Exam Question section of each page,
you will find two or three examples of examination questions from the
section.
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