The
Spectator, July 14, 2007
HEADLINE: If you want
power, be emotional, not rational;
BYLINE: Drew Westen
In the last 40 years, only one Democrat has been elected and reelected to the American
presidency: Bill Clinton [Barack Obama was elected to two terms after this
article was written]. And during the same period, only one Republican has
failed to win re-election: George H.W.Bush. These are astounding facts, given
that during those same years, whenever registered Democrats and Republicans
were not in roughly equal numbers in the United States, Democrats were in the
majority, as they are today.
Democratic voters are confused and frustrated. What's the matter with Kansas,
they ask? Why do blue-collar workers consistently vote for wealthy Republicans
who staunchly oppose increasing the minimum wage while giving themselves a
$70billion tax cut? [The Trump tax cut is estimated to cost $1.5 trillion, most
of it going to wealthy people.]
Because Democrats are starting from the wrong vision of mind and brain: a
dispassionate vision, which suggests that if you just marshall the right facts
and figures, policies and position statements, voters will compare the
candidates on 'the issues' and choose the one who maximizes their rational
self-interest.
The problem is that that's not how the mind and brain work at all.
Consider a populist appeal made by Al Gore in a presidential debate with
then-governor George W. Bush. When asked what older voters could expect from
the two candidates on health care, Gore offered this response: 'Under the
Governor’s plan, if you kept the same fee for service that you have now under
Medicare, your premiums would go up by between 18 and 47 per cent, and that is
the study of the Congressional plan that he's modeled his proposal on by the
Medicare actuaries. Let me give you one quick example. There is a man here
tonight named George McKinney from Milwaukee.
He's 70 years old, has high blood pressure, his wife has heart trouble. They
have an income of $25,000 a year. They can't pay for their prescription drugs.
They’re some of the ones that go to Canada regularly in order to get their
prescription drugs.' What's wrong with
that response?
If voters were calculators, this would have been a superb response. It was an
appeal to reason followed by an attempt at a personal story grafted on to the
‘real message', which sounded like some consultant told him, 'You have to throw
in a story for the voters who don't think. Give them a story they like
stories.' But that's not how voters' minds work. Educated voters are no more
rational than their less educated or politically interested peers. The most
politically aware voters tend to be the most partisan and the most partisan
voters are the least likely to listen to reasoned arguments. Instead, as our
research using brain scanning has shown, when confronted with information they
don’t like, partisans simply change their interpretation of the information
until it's more to their liking and then their brains get a jolt of dopamine, a
neural 'fix' that reinforces their failure to take data seriously.
If Gore wanted to appeal to real human brains, not the idealized minds of
rational decision-makers, he needed to start by reversing the sequence of his
answer, drawing voters in with an emotionally compelling story that would tell
them why they should care about his facts and figures. If you study the 'syntax’
of the speeches and debate responses of the most emotionally intelligent
American politician in our lifetimes, Bill Clinton, you almost always find him
leading with something emotionally compelling; following it with a description
of what the problem is, why his opponent's approach won't solve it, and why his
will; and 'closing the argument' with something powerful, uplifting, or moving
that lets voters know he was going to do something about it that his heart was
truly in it.
That's the structure of an emotionally compelling argument. It's not devoid of
reason. But it is not fundamentally about reason. Why should a person who has
access to good medical coverage care about the fact that someone else doesn’t?
Why should a white person care about racism? Why should a person with a good
income care about poverty as long as he can avoid the 'bad' sections of town?
Those are questions of values, not of reason. No philosopher has ever succeeded
in deriving 'ought' from 'is'. A successful politician sets the emotional
agenda of the electorate, making people passionate about what he or she is
passionate about.
Unlike his former boss, Gore always led with a weak cognitive jab, often
followed by a glancing blow to the gut. He rarely threw the emotional hook.
Most Americans didn't care whether Bush's plan would raise their rates by 18 to
48per cent or 16 to 44 per cent. They wanted the gist. Nor did they know what
an actuary was and if they did, they probably wouldn't like one.
Imagine, instead, if Gore had simply said this: 'Under the Governor's plan,
your rates would go up by about a third. If you're on a fixed income, that's a
lot of money. That's not how we treat our parents and grandparents in this
country.’ This response is simple, to the point, and makes exactly the same
argument as Gore’s actuarially precise version. But by converting the exact
numbers to 'a third', he would have been able to put the intonation in his
voice that would have given his words emphasis and emotional resonance. And by
'closing the argument' with an emotional appeal, he would have made clear that
what was wrong with Bush's plan was not the numbers but the values underlying
it that he was going to cut taxes for the wealthy while raising premiums on
senior citizens living on a fixed income.
Compare Gore's response to a similar populist appeal offered by newly elected
Senator Jim Webb in the Democratic response to President Bush's State of the
Union address in January 2007: 'When I graduated from college, the average
corporate CEO made 20 times what the average worker did; today, it's nearly
400times. In other words, it takes the average worker more than a year to make
the money that his or her boss makes in one day.' Webb was using numbers, just
like Gore was. But they were at the service of eliciting a feeling moral
outrage and a value fairness. You can't read those two simple sentences without
immediately thinking, 'That's just not right' or 'That isn't fair'.
Unless you're working overtime to avoid them, those feelings are the natural
emotional entailment of the 'argument'.
I do not mean to single out Al Gore here.
He is the person most responsible for making the entire world take seriously
the climate change that is threatening our planet.
But he didn't succeed in doing that primarily by regaling us with facts and
figures.
He'd marshaled those years earlier, and all the facts in the world didn't stop
George W.Bush from discarding everything we knew.
Gore set the emotional agenda with his brilliant movie, An Inconvenient Truth,
which allowed us literally to see the polar ice caps melting and the glaciers
toppling before our eyes. And he used language in that movie in a way he never
used it in the election of 2000, reminding us that 'This is our only home'.
In America, what allowed George Bush to reject the Kyoto Treaty and set the
clock back a decade in dealing with one of the greatest dangers to the world we
leave our children was not just the greed, indifference, smugness and hubris of
a President and party who didn't think facts mattered to good governance. It
was also the irrational commitment to rationality of the left.
Behind every reasoned decision is a reason for deciding. We do not pay
attention to arguments unless they engender our interest, enthusiasm, fear,
anger or contempt.
We are not moved by leaders with whom we do not feel an emotional resonance. We
do not find policies worth debating if they don't touch on the emotional
implications for ourselves, our families, or the things about which we care
most deeply.
The political brain is an emotional brain, not a calculator.
Questions: Drew Westen ends
his article with the statement: “The
political brain is an emotional brain, not a calculator.” What does he mean
by this? Use an example from his article
which illustrates his point. Relate the
argument in this article to the politics of cities like Murieta
and Olathe.